¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Calvin Wang successfully adopt my sleep schedule for a week??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 3 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Calvin Wang successfully adopt my sleep schedule for a week??

Está previsto que Will Calvin Wang successfully adopt my sleep schedule for a week? se resuelva el 20 de diciembre de 2026.

One-OffDivisas2m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 95%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 11 horas

Desactualizado

28 sept 26, 20:53 UTC20 dic 26, 4:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Calvin Wang is a first-year student at MIT and described my sleep schedule as "lowkey kinda appealing".

Will he adopt it for a week?
Informally, this market resolves YES if for seven consecutive days in the fall semester, Calvin sleeps for at least seven hours and wakes up before 6:30am.
Formally, let a day D be passing if Calvin is not asleep between 6:30am local time and 6:30pm local time on day D and is asleep for at least seven hours from 6:30pm local time on day D to 6:30am local time on day D+1.
This market resolves YES if there exist seven consecutive days in the Fall 2026 semester at MIT which are passing.
Otherwise, the market resolves NO.