Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 50.4%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado6 sept 26, 12:32 UTC5 ene 41, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Australia produced at least 500 gigalitres (GL) of desalinated water between January 1, 2040 and December 31, 2040.
- “Desalinated water” means water produced in Australia through desalination of seawater or estuarine water for supply by water-service providers.
- The preferred resolution sources are the Australian Bureau of Statistics Water Account, Bureau of Meteorology National Performance Report, or another authoritative Australian government source.
- If no single official source reports an Australia-wide calendar-year total, the market may resolve using sufficiently detailed official data from individual utilities or desalination plants, provided those figures can reasonably be summed to determine whether the 500 GL threshold was crossed.
- The relevant quantity is treated desalinated water produced or supplied, not seawater intake or total plant throughput before treatment.
- Water produced from desalination of saline groundwater is excluded unless it is included in the relevant national government series used for resolution.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 50.4% a fecha de 23 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040??
- Está previsto que Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040? se resuelva el 5 de enero de 2041.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Australia produced at least 500 gigalitres (GL) of desalinated water between January 1, 2040 and December 31, 2040.