Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 97.9%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado28 oct 23, 6:09 UTC1 ene 40, 10:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
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PolymarketNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketReglas
In August 2023, due to delays in the development of Starship, NASA officials expressed an openness to flying Artemis 3 without a crewed landing.
- In this case, the mission may become a crewed visit to the Lunar Gateway.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artemis_3
- Resolves YES if Artemis III is flown and a lunar landing is planned to be attempted as part of the mission
- Resolves NO if Artemis III is flown and a lunar landing is not planned to be attempted as part of the mission
- Resolves N/A if Artemis III is not flown before 2040
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Tech
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing??
- Está previsto que Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: In August 2023, due to delays in the development of Starship, NASA officials expressed an openness to flying Artemis 3 without a crewed landing.