Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 4:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.6%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado26 dic 23, 8:26 UTC31 dic 27, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple release an iPhone with >5x optical zoom?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a first-party home camera before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Start date of this market contract: December 25, 2023
- End date of this market contract: December 31, 2027
- Resolves YES if Apple releases a phone (whether it's called iphone or something else - iphone has been used in the title since that is the only line of phones that Apple sells at the present time) without a camera bump. it does not count if the camera bump is noticeably smaller.
- It should be a "more or less flat back".
- It goes against the spirit of the market if Apple releases a phone without a camera, and thus without a camera bump.
- So, that will not count.