Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 91%
Pronosticadores
137
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado2 ene 23, 20:09 UTC1 ene 30, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Apple to announce the launch of a car by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple launch a server product based on proprietary ARM CPUs by End of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves yes if, by the end of 2029, Apple officially announces that it will release a car.
- This does not require that the car be released or available by that date.
- Similar market: https://manifold.markets/TatianaSurver/will-apple-announce-the-launch-of-a?referrer=JoelSteadman
- Background: https://www.macrumors.com/roundup/apple-car/
- Acceptance criteria: Apple publicly announces some car model (rather than some sort of add-on that can be added to any car) under their brand that is purchasable by consumers.
- Apple relying on another manufacturer for most of the engineering, but brands it as partially their own.