Will any US Senate candidate have 50.1% or more in the polling average and lose?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección16d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 60.6%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado8 oct 26, 19:40 UTC10 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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ForecastExReglas
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model
- Resolves YES if in any 2026 US Senate election on the Silver Bulletin average, a candidate has 50.1% or more of the vote and loses.
- The final polling average on silver bulletin will be used.
