Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31?
RegulaciónOne-OffTecnología3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 65.3%
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1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado4 may 26, 20:22 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31, any of the following companies publicly announce a power purchase agreement (PPA), behind-the-meter agreement, nuclear/renewable supply contract, or equivalent power arrangement of ≥1,000 MW (1 GW) or more, dedicated to a single datacenter or datacenter campus:
- Amazon (AWS), Microsoft (Azure), Alphabet (Google Cloud), Meta, Oracle Cloud, Apple, IBM Cloud
- Or any "neocloud" (CoreWeave, Lambda, Crusoe, etc.)
- Source of truth: public press releases, SEC filings, EIA datacenter-electricity reports, utility-commission filings (state PUCs publish PPAs), or major news outlets reporting based on these primary sources.
- The deal must be specifically for a datacenter or datacenter campus, not a portfolio-level corporate procurement.
- Multi-site aggregations don't count unless ≥1 GW is dedicated to a single named datacenter.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31??
- Está previsto que Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31, any of the following companies publicly announce a power purchase agreement (PPA), behind-the-meter agreement, nuclear/renewable supply contract, or equivalent power arrangement of ≥1,000 MW (1 GW) or more, dedicated to a single datacenter or datacenter campus: