Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 78.8%
Pronosticadores
58
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 horas
Desactualizado22 dic 22, 1:22 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Devansh have a *liquid* net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexey guzey have a relationship with a thiel fellow, Atlas fellow, TKS'er, cockatoo, repligate, or Rochelle?
Manifold Marketswil a person have a net worth of 1 trillion in 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk's net worth fall below $100 billion before 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiReglas
By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."
- EDIT: This includes donations/money spent in a personal capacity).
- See comments.
