Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.1%
Pronosticadores
30
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
8 ago 26, 7:13 UTC1 ene 28, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Codename: TAKEOFF
- Resolves YES if any AI model publicly released before January 1, 2028 receives an official general Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score of 200 or higher.
- The model must be released before the deadline, but Epoch may score it afterward.
- The central general-ECI value in Epoch’s canonical score file controls—not confidence bounds or domain-specific scores.
- If Epoch changes its scale or stops publishing useful scores, MNX will use its published conversion or the closest credible reconstruction of the same threshold.
- Keep an eye on mnx.fi 👀
Mercados abiertos
SportsKALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
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- Buffalo6.6%
- Seattle-1.0pt5.7%
+29 resultados más
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- 77,3 M €
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KALSHIInoue vs Adkar
- Hina Inoue99%
- Vaishnavi Adkar1%
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Rory McIlroy+1.0pt14%
- Jon Rahm-0.2pt8%
- Tyrrell Hatton-0.5pt5%
+97 resultados más
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KALSHISekulic vs Matsuda
- Philip Sekulic93.1%
- Koki Matsuda6.9%
- Volumen total
- 1,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Bayern Munich+1.0pt15.1%
- Arsenal-1.0pt13.2%
+33 resultados más
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- 1 Winner100%
- 2 Winner100%
- Match Winner100%
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- 1 M €
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- Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
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- MVP Winner?
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- Ogura vs Hong
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- NFL 2026-27: Champion
- Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
- US Open Women's Singles Winner
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 70% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028??
- Está previsto que Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Takeoff: ECI >= 200 before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Codename: TAKEOFF