Will annual copper production from bio-leaching of primary sulfides exceed 10 kt by end of 2028?
Materias primasOne-OffAjedrezDeportes2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 62.1%
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8
Tipo de pregunta
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Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado9 feb 26, 20:26 UTC31 dic 28, 5:00 UTC
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KalshiCopper price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if total annual copper cathode production from bio-leaching of primary sulfide ores exceeds 10,000 tonnes in calendar year 2028.
- Combined output from Nuton-enabled sites (JCM + any new deployments) plus any other commercial bio-leaching operations on primary sulfides totals >10 kt
- Production data published in operator annual reports, technical reports, or verified by independent commodity consultancies
- Total primary sulfide bio-leach production remains below 10 kt in CY2028
- Only pilot/test production (not commercial-scale) exceeds threshold
