Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.6%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado27 ago 23, 16:27 UTC31 dic 50, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?
Manifold MarketsWill an official mugshot of Nancy Pelosi be published before her death?
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KalshiReglas
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets.
- If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
- [image]Mugshot series: @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-george @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-anthony @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-joe-bid @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-hillary @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-nancy-p @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-mike-pe
- @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-any-cur
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 693 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 266,9 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,7 mil €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an official mugshot of Mike Pence be published before his death??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an official mugshot of Mike Pence be published before his death??
- Está previsto que Will an official mugshot of Mike Pence be published before his death? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an official mugshot of Mike Pence be published before his death??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.