Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 92.2%
Pronosticadores
34
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 59 minutos
Retrasado7 abr 23, 2:22 UTC1 ene 00, 5:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
By the end of this century, will the dominant form of intelligent life on Earth be digital or biological?
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if AI wipes out all biological life on Earth before the year 2100.
- Presumably in that case the AI will have to be kind enough to posthumously resolve this market on our behalf, but in the meantime Manifold loans should give you some incentive to bet on this market.
- This market resolves NO if the AI stops short of wiping out all biological life on Earth.
- If there's still a single amoeba, extremophile, mite, lichen, protist, or tardigrade still clinging to life somwhere on January 1st in the year of our Lord 2100, this market resolves NO.
- Also if something other than AI wipes out all life on Earth--such as a super asteroid or a supernova or a black hole or a giant alien space laser (the aliens being non artificial intelligences)--this market resolves NO.
- To be clear, if I (or an heir with my Manifold password) is still alive on January 1st, 2100.
