Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección14a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 66.6%
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157
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado21 abr 23, 18:37 UTC31 dic 40, 22:59 UTC
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ForecastExReglas
This question will resolve as YES if a woman is elected as the President of the United States in any presidential election held before December 31, 2040.
- The election must take place through the constitutional process and result in a woman assuming the office of the President of the United States.
- A woman who serves as Vice President and assumes the office of the President due to the President's death, resignation, or removal from office would not count as a "woman elected as the President."
- If a woman is elected as President but is unable to assume office due to death, incapacity, or other reasons, this would still count as a YES resolution as long as the election process had been completed.
- For the sake of this market I'll define a woman as someone identifying as a woman at the time of being elected.
- So trans women are women.
