Will a top 5 US fast-food chain launch a non-dairy milkshake nationally by end of 2027?
One-OffNegocios y empresas1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 68.8%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado29 jul 26, 16:17 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which fast food chain in the USA will offer a lab-grown / cultivated meat product first?
Manifold MarketsWill an American national fast food chain use lab-grown/cultured meat in a product by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Soy, Oat, Almond and other Non Dairy Milks still be allowed to use the word 'Milk' in the USA on Jan 1st 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Robinhood Chain launch a token by which date?
PolymarketFast food credit card spend array index in October 2026
KalshiWill a junk/fast food company use engineered additives to mitigate the effects of GLP-1 agonists (Ozempic)?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any of the top US fast-food chains launch a non-dairy milkshake nationally on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Eligible Chains: For clarity and to avoid debates over shifting industry rankings or whether coffee shops qualify, a "top US fast-food chain" is defined as any of the top 5 quick-service restaurant chains by U.S. systemwide sales: McDonald’s, Starbucks, Chick-fil-A, Taco Bell, or Wendy's.
- "Launch nationally": The chain must add the item to its permanent or limited-time promotional menu at a supermajority (at least 80%) of its corporate and franchised locations across the United States.
- Regional tests, single-market pilots, or items exclusive to spinoff concepts (e.g., CosMc's) do not qualify.