Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040?
One-OffSpace13aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 68.3%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado30 ene 23, 22:33 UTC1 ene 40, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Floating or flying "rovers" will also count, such as would potentially be useful on Venus or Jupiter.
- In order to qualify as a "rover", it must be capable of moving arbitrary distances and have a long-term power source such as solar panels or an RTEG.
- A short term battery-powered craft doesn't count, nor does a stationary lander.
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 89,7 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volumen total
- 101,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,5 mil €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040??
- Está previsto que Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Floating or flying "rovers" will also count, such as would potentially be useful on Venus or Jupiter.