Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 8:25 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 90%
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 24, 21:25 UTC2 oct 28, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a person under the age of 60 be elected US President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
Manifold MarketsWill a male be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
PredictItReglas
Resolves YES if a person born on Nov 8th, 1958 or later wins the US Presidential election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated (due to illness etc).
- Resolves NO if a person born on Nov 7th, 1958 or earlier wins the election.
- Important: this market is for the 2028 election!
