Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 90%
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado12 ene 24, 21:25 UTC2 oct 28, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
Manifold MarketsWill a female be elected US vice president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
PredictItWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExReglas
Resolves YES if a person born on Nov 8th, 1958 or later wins the US Presidential election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated (due to illness etc).
- Resolves NO if a person born on Nov 7th, 1958 or earlier wins the election.
- Important: this market is for the 2028 election!
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
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- Volumen total
- 847,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 668,8 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 90% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028??
- Está previsto que Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028? se resuelva el 2 de octubre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if a person born on Nov 8th, 1958 or later wins the US Presidential election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated (due to illness etc).