Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 69.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado5 ago 23, 23:45 UTC2 ene 49, 4:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
If a candidate who polls at over 20% in a Democratic or Republican primary or in a general election according to polling aggregators RealClearPolitics and Fivethirtyeight (or suitable alternative if both are defunct) uses the adjective "based" to describe something or someone, including themselves, in official communications, resolve to YES.
- Otherwise, resolve to NO.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048??
- Está previsto que Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2049.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If a candidate who polls at over 20% in a Democratic or Republican primary or in a general election according to polling aggregators RealClearPolitics and Fivethirtyeight (or suitable alternative if both are defunct) uses the adjective "based" to describe something or someone, including themselves, in official communications, resolve to YES.