Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNobody 37.4%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado2 oct 25, 17:42 UTC2 oct 26, 17:42 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
PolymarketReglas
I may or may not have an interview with Robin Hanson coming up.
- I created a prediction market about whether or not he would accept my request to be the subject of an interview about being the subject of a prediction market.
- And I want a sponsor for my youtube channel, so I put a public stripe link on twitter around the conversation to see if manifold would see the value.
- https://x.com/leo_guinan/status/1973804489401311452
- Here's my youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ideasupplychain
Mercados abiertos
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-12.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Solana (SOL)-4.0pt30%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 593,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 43 €
- Volumen 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volumen total
- 271,5 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 101,4 €
- Volumen 24h
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Nobody al 37% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists??
- Está previsto que Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists? se resuelva el 2 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I may or may not have an interview with Robin Hanson coming up.