Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate9aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 77.8%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado2 oct 25, 16:20 UTC2 oct 35, 16:19 UTC
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Resolves YES if anyone reports, and Robin Hanson does not contradict within 7 days, that they requested to talk to Robin Hanson about prediction markets, and got turned down.
- Resolves NO if this does not happen after 10 years.
- Update 2025-10-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - 7-day window starts after notification: The 7 days begin once Robin Hanson is notified of the report; if he does not contradict within that period, it counts.
- Obvious abuse/false reports may be ignored: The creator may use discretion to disregard clearly dishonest or spammy repeated claims.
- Update 2025-10-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on what counts as "turned down": A request to talk about prediction markets that is declined because the requester primarily wants to discuss their own grand theory (rather than genuinely discuss prediction markets) does NOT count as being "turned down" for purposes of this market's resolution.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 78% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets??
- Está previsto que Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets? se resuelva el 2 de octubre de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Robin Hanson ever turn down anyone who wants to talk to him about prediction markets??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if anyone reports, and Robin Hanson does not contradict within 7 days, that they requested to talk to Robin Hanson about prediction markets, and got turned down.