Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Other 50.8%Líder entre 19 opciones
Pronosticadores
45
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado21 feb 24, 22:29 UTC3 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.5%
0.3%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Speaker Mike Johnson send the House members home early before midterms?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketMike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiWill the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurReglas
Mike Johnson is the current Republican Speaker of the House and the #1 Republican in the US House of Representatives.
- If the Republicans lost their majority in the House, Johnson would likely become become the Republican Minority Leader, which would then be the position of the #1 Republican under a Democratic Party House.
- This market resolves to the name of the next Republican after Mike Johnson to assume the position of either Speaker of the House or Minority Leader.
- In the case of a leadership crisis like the one resulting from Speaker McCarthy's removal as speaker, the person appointed to Speaker pro tempore (if anyone) does not count.
- Only a permanent Republican Speaker or permanent Republican Minority Leader resolves this market.
- If you have suggestions for other candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Mercados abiertos
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 51% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson??
- Está previsto que Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson? se resuelva el 3 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Mike Johnson is the current Republican Speaker of the House and the #1 Republican in the US House of Representatives.