Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualElon Musk 100%Líder entre 61 opciones
Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+86.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
27 nov 25, 0:44 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Will Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?
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KalshiWill Dwarkesh Patel interview Jose Luis Ricon by 2040?
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES to every guest who appears on the podcast.
- The episode must not merely be recorded but also be released to the public, officially, not via a leak, for it to count.
- Any submissions made after the podcast episode is released to the public will be N/A'd.
- Dwarkesh Patel option note
- Will resolve YES if there is an episode where he is interviewed, like the AMA episode from 25th March 2025
- Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Collaborative episodes (where Dwarkesh collaborates with another podcast/creator) will count for resolution purposes if the episode appears on the Dwarkesh podcast feed and YouTube channel.
