¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first??

Manifold Markets cotiza Both/Neither/Unclear al 69.5% a fecha de 30 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first??

Está previsto que Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first? se resuelva el 31 de mayo de 2029.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Both/Neither/Unclear 69.5%

Líder entre 3 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 17 horas

Desactualizado

8 jul 26, 21:07 UTC31 may 29, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolves SpaceX if SpaceX is first to issue a termination notice or publicly confirm ending the Colossus compute agreement.

Resolves Anthropic if Anthropic is first to do so.
Resolves Both/Neither/Unclear if termination is mutual or simultaneous, the deal runs to its contractual end (reported as May 2029) or is renewed/replaced without cancellation, or the initiating party can't be determined.
Renegotiation, downsizing, partial capacity reallocation, or transfer to a successor agreement does not count as cancellation, the agreement must actually end.