Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualMagdalena Andersson (S) 72%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-3.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado23 sept 25, 7:11 UTC30 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Requires a successful investiture vote.
- Fresh elections without a successful investiture resolves N/A. If the government collapses soon after forming and another person becomes PM, it’s still the first to successfully become PM post-election that counts.
- Elections are in September 2026.
- Resolution is expected within about a month, or at least within the year, but can potentially drag on.
- For example, government formation after the 2018 elections took a record 134 days.
