Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 23:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualThe web will not substantially improve before 2032 85%Líder entre 27 opciones
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 53 minutos
Retrasado20 nov 23, 0:03 UTC4 abr 32, 11:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
The web is the dominant protocol for social computing.
- It's possible that the future's web will not have continuity with the web browsers of today.
- If the present batch of web browsers are deposed, which project will the deposer emerge from?
- Definition: A "next web" has arrived when a browser with a new rendering engine for a new site format becomes popular (adoption from 30% of people) while lacking tight integration with a fully webkit-compatible HTML renderer.
- It may (and probably should) be able to visit or embed traditional web pages, but these pages lack most of the above features, and most of the pages people actively use are in a new format.
- Background: The current web has fundamental issues.