Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 11 jul 2026, 22:22 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Pronóstico comunitario actualDemocrats 64.5%-5.5pt
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 días
Desactualizado5 feb 26, 4:583 nov 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democrats65%
Comparar plataformas· Democrats
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 65% | — | — | — | hace 15 días | |
 PredictIt80% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 60% | — | — | — | hace 10 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Iowa?
10m
60%
39%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITReglas
Resolves to the winner.
- Resolves on media reporting and official results.
- Trump won the state by 13.2% in 2024.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$179 jul3d de datos11 jul
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Resolves to the winner.
- Resolves on media reporting and official results.
- Trump won the state by 13.2% in 2024.