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  3. Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?

Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?

TecnologíaOne-OffSpace6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Falcon 9
Falcon 9 95.5%
Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores

14

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 días

Desactualizado
19 ene 25, 17:341 ene 27, 6:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
New Glenn
New Glenn
0.5%

Resultado elegido

Falcon 996%

Reglas

As of question writing, the record for reuse of a booster on orbital launch attempts is held by Falcon 9 booster B1080, and stands at 14 days.

Manifold Markets
  • It launched on 2024-11-11 and again on 2024-11-25.
  • What booster family will hold this record as of the end of 2026?
  • Launch attempts must be orbital or near-orbital (Starship test flights count as near-orbital).
  • As measured from launch to launch.
  • The second stage must be present but need not be successful.

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Reglas

As of question writing, the record for reuse of a booster on orbital launch attempts is held by Falcon 9 booster B1080, and stands at 14 days.

Manifold Markets
  • It launched on 2024-11-11 and again on 2024-11-25.
  • What booster family will hold this record as of the end of 2026?
  • Launch attempts must be orbital or near-orbital (Starship test flights count as near-orbital).
  • As measured from launch to launch.
  • The second stage must be present but need not be successful.