Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualThe Odyssey 100%Líder entre 19 opciones
Pronosticadores
46
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado18 feb 26, 19:07 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office
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Polymarket"Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office
PolymarketHighest box office-grossing movie in 2026 (US/Canada Domestic)
FutuurWill The Cat in the Hat beat Godzilla Minus Zero at the domestic box office on opening weekend (Nov 6–8, 2026)?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- Each answer resolves YES if that film's domestic (US+Canada) box office gross exceeds $250M by the end of 2026.
- Resolution source: Box Office Mojo; if unavailable or clearly erroneous, The Numbers will serve as backup.
- Films that do not open domestically in 2026 resolve NO.
- The domestic box office is forecasted to hit $9 billion in 2026, though many of the movie business's biggest franchises are showing signs of oversaturation or fatigue.
- Family films and video game adaptations proved irresistible to audiences in 2025, with "A Minecraft Movie," "Lilo & Stitch," and "Zootopia 2" being the three highest-grossing Hollywood productions.
