Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualThe Hodge conjecture 52.8%+0.8ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-14.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
8 sept 26, 22:00 UTC31 dic 98, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketReglas
Los criterios de resolución aún no están disponibles para este mercado. Las próximas actualizaciones completarán esta sección cuando se hayan guardado las reglas de la fuente.
Mercados abiertos
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 59,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 176,8 mil €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-1.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 29,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 271 mil €
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No+10.9pt97%
- Yes-10.9pt3%
- Volumen total
- 24,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-1.5pt75.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-1.0pt0%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.6pt73%
- No27%
- Volumen total
- 302,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,8 mil €
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next??
- Manifold Markets cotiza The Hodge conjecture al 53% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next??
- Está previsto que Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2098.