Which Democrats will have a 20.00%+ chance of winning the 2028 Dem president nomination at any point?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónPolítica de EE. UU.1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualAOC 61%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado18 feb 26, 6:58 UTC31 ago 28, 23:59 UTC
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https://electionbettingodds.com/DEMPrimary2028.html
- Resolves yes if the candidate listed is over 20.00% on electionbettingodds at any point before Last state primary is finished.
- When a candidate withdraws from a race, their answer will resolve no.
- If a candidate never enters the race, resolves no after last state primary is finished
- 20.00% must be legitimate average of sites like Kalshi,Polymarket, Betfair etc. any obvious error excluded.
- If site shuts down uses average of popular sites like Kalshi/polymarket.