Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 25 jun 2026, 16:43 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Pronóstico comunitario actualCerebras 100%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 días
Desactualizado13 mar 26, 23:1131 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
SpaceX99%
Comparar plataformas· Cerebras
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general90% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 99% | — | 2,8 mil € | 559,5 mil € | hace 16 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 26 días |
También disponible en Kalshi
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
1.0%5m
99%
99%
+1.0%84%
+26 resultados más
64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total1,8 M €
Volumen 24h2,8 mil €
KALSHIReglas
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
- Resolves according to media reporting and official statements.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it.
- As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
- Resolves according to media reporting and official statements.