Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOct-Dec 2026 41.1%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+20.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado1 dic 25, 22:29 UTC31 dic 26, 22:26 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
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KalshiReglas
Waymo said their taxi service would come to San Diego's downtown area in 2026.
- If it's only available for a weekend, then gone again, that still counts.
- Even for just one evening.
- If the autonomy is ambiguous, that still counts.
- This question is much more lenient than some of those Austin Tesla questions.
- If the cars are COMPLETELY human-driven at first (unlikely), with humans in the drivers seats & operating the steering wheels, that won't count.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
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- 944,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 721,8 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
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- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
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- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Waymo launch in San Diego??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Oct-Dec 2026 al 41% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Waymo launch in San Diego??
- Está previsto que When will Waymo launch in San Diego? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Waymo launch in San Diego??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Waymo said their taxi service would come to San Diego's downtown area in 2026.