Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual05 by end of 2028/12 65.9%+7.3ptLíder entre 26 opciones
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19
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+7.3 pts
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Actualizado hace 10 minutos
19 jun 25, 15:06 UTC30 dic 26, 15:30 UTC
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Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
PolymarketReglas
To be operational, a Starship must have launched.
- A Starship in flight is still operational if there is a payload deployment expected or is carrying goods to a landing destination or operations on the Starship are continuing eg an operating telescope built into a starship would be operational as long as the telescope has use.
- This almost certainly means at least communications with the Starship must still be possible.
- After the operational phase of a flight, a starship is operational if the intent is to recover it for reuse.
- Starships that have landed or been caught are considered operational if there is intent to reuse or there is no available information indicating otherwise.
- For example, if it is known that a vehicle has been or is in the process of being scrapped or SpaceX announce it cannot or isn't going to be re-flown then it is no longer operational.