When will there be a 90+ minute AI-generated video that humans will pay to see?
EntretenimientoOne-Off2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
During 2026 (2026-01-01T00:00Z <= time < 2027-01-01T00:00Z) 72.3%Líder entre 5 opciones
During 2026 (2026-01-01T00:00Z <= time < 2027-01-01T00:00Z) 72.3%Pronosticadores
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado12 dic 22, 18:24 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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Another way of putting it: "When will the first completely AI-made feature-length movie be released?"
- This question resolves when there is an experience that includes motion video that is:
- That has the script (if any) written by an AI
- An AI produces all images and sound without cameras, microphones, or actors
- The images, script, and sound are all of a quality similar to or better than a 2022 Hollywood movie with a budget of more than $100,000,000.
- (If there is a dispute, this can be resolved by a majority of humans on a 100-human random survey saying the experience has that quality.)
