Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Pronóstico comunitario actualAntes del 2026-08-01 100%+0.3ptLíder entre 30 opciones
Pronosticadores
111
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado anteayer
Desactualizado13 oct 25, 23:4225 jul 26, 7:42
Cronología de Probabilidad
Before 2026-02-010%
Before 2026-03-010%
Before 2026-04-010%
Before 2026-05-011%
Before 2026-06-010%
Before 2026-07-010.9%
Before 2026-05-161%
Before 2026-06-161%
Before 2026-08-01100%
Before 2026-09-01100%
Before 2026-10-01100%
Before 2026-11-01100%
Before 2026-07-160%
Before 2026-08-16100%
Before 2026-08-08100%
Before 2026-07-2456.8%
Before 2026-07-211%
Before 2026-07-197.5%
Before 2026-07-183.8%
Before 2026-07-2068.6%
Before 2026-07-221%
Before 2026-07-231%
Before 2026-07-25100%
Before 2026-07-26100%
Before 2026-07-27100%
Before 2026-07-28100%
Before 2026-07-29100%
Before 2026-07-30100%
Before 2026-07-31100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Before 2026-08-01
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general88% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 50,3 mil € | 0 € | anteayer | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | anteayer |
También disponible en Polymarket
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
19.0 ptsCerrados
+8.9pt100%
+1.8pt100%
+19.0pt100%
+12 resultados más
46 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total779,6 mil €
Volumen 24h50,3 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
Las fechas de los últimos vuelos son:
- Vuelo 7: 2025-01-16
- Vuelo 8: 2025-03-06
- Vuelo 9: 2025-05-27
- Vuelo 10: 2025-08-26
- Vuelo 11: 2025-10-13
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$5.1k99.9%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — YesTaut-Witness-Scraperhace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — YesTaut-Witness-Scraperhace 3 d$2.0k99.9%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — Yesaviatohace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — Yesaviatohace 3 d$5.0k99.9%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — Yesaviatohace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? — Yesaviatohace 3 d$1.4k99.9%POLYMARKETWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown? — Yes1walrushace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown? — Yes1walrushace 3 d$7.1k99.9%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? — Yes1walrushace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? — Yes1walrushace 3 d$5.2k99.8%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? — YesAgricultureSecretaryhace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? — YesAgricultureSecretaryhace 3 d$1.4k85.4%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? — YesHakei.hace 11 d
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? — YesHakei.hace 11 d$8.9k98.8%POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16? — Yesnoreasapahace 11 d
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16? — Yesnoreasapahace 11 dTendencia de volumen
$62.5k8 jul18d de datos25 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?
13 mil €$0.70-$0.80T: 53%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
5,2 mil €Anthropic: 73%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
3,6 mil €December 31: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
1,8 mil €Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%
KALSHI
KALSHIWhen will Starship flight 14 happen?
627,3 €Before 2026-08-01: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSSpaceX market cap on December 31 2026?
351,5 €$1trillion or below: 5.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Velo Reveals New Orbit Plus Upgrade to Offer Multi-Wallet SupportBlockchain Reporter
Microsoft Says MDASH Beats Claude Mythos and GPT-5.6 Sol in Cybersecurity TestDecrypt
Nvidia, Microsoft and IBM Launch Open Secure AI Alliance to Strengthen AI CybersecurityDecrypt
Kimi-K3 Scales to 2.8T Parameters on AMD Instinct GPUsBlockchain.News
Circle Buys IBM Blockchain Patent Estate—And Becomes America's Biggest HolderDecrypt
Tesla wins UK 5G patent appeal over $32 feeCrypto NewsReglas
Las fechas de los últimos vuelos son:
- Vuelo 7: 2025-01-16
- Vuelo 8: 2025-03-06
- Vuelo 9: 2025-05-27
- Vuelo 10: 2025-08-26
- Vuelo 11: 2025-10-13