Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2026 Jul-Dec 53.8%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado19 mar 25, 22:06 UTC1 ene 30, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
At time of writing (2025 March), Starship is still a prototype rocket & has not deployed anything to orbit yet.
- This question will resolve when Starship successfully deploys 1+ satellites (eg, Starlink) to orbit AND this has already happened once before.
- Motive: This launch should correlate with the end of Starship testing & the start of a useful decrease in price to LEO.
- Clarifications:
- Starship doing orbital fuel transfer would not count
- The satellites must stay on their intended trajectories for at least 24 hours after deployment
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2026 Jul-Dec al 54% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time??
- Está previsto que When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: At time of writing (2025 March), Starship is still a prototype rocket & has not deployed anything to orbit yet.