¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Apple release a Vision base model??

Manifold Markets cotiza 2026 al 45.2% a fecha de 28 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Apple release a Vision base model??

Está previsto que When will Apple release a Vision base model? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2031.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

2026 45.2%

Líder entre 8 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 15 minutos

12 feb 24, 20:20 UTC2 ene 31, 4:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolves to the year when Apple releases (makes available for purchase to the public) the Apple Vision headset alongside the Apple Vision Pro.

The criteria for resolution are Apple having two virtual reality headsets which use VisionOS available for purchase simultaneously, which are differentiated from each other in at least both product name and retail price.
Therefore, changes in name do not affect the market.
If the criteria are not met by 2031, the market resolves to never if there is no announcement or sources which suggest any chance it will occur by 2033.