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Human population will not decrease before 2100 26.5%Líder entre 5 opciones
Human population will not decrease before 2100 26.5%Pronosticadores
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado17 jul 24, 1:13 UTC2 ene 00, 4:59 UTC
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Which year will the population of humans on January 1st be less than the population of humans on January 1st the year prior for the first time in recorded history?
- This includes all humans not on Earth as well.
- This question doesn't ask when population will peak; human population may well continue to increase the following year.
- Assuming it is still active, https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/world-population-by-year/ will be used as the reference.
- Population models from the United Nations predict that this may happen within the next hundred years. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:World_Population_Prospects.svg Although, a number of reasonable possibilities may break these models.
- An existential risk materializing could make this sooner than expected.
