Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2029 13.2%Líder entre 6 opciones
2029 13.2%Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado18 ene 24, 1:23 UTC1 ene 30, 22:59 UTC
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A year resolves yes, if a program that is called AlphaGeometry by official Google Deepmind communication can get enough points to win at least bronze on the International Mathematics Olympiad of that year.
- The years are resolved completely independent of each other.
- The program does not have to be the exact same code as the that of the paper published on Jan 17, 2024.
- The program has to be called AlphaGeometry by Google Deepmind.
- If a program is called AlphaGeometry 2.0, that is not sufficient.
- If the program is called AlphaGeometry, but also something else (to distinguish it from the original version), that is fine (c.f.
