What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]
One-OffTecnología2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualX / Twitter 35.5%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado10 ago 23, 3:49 UTC2 jun 29, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 be softmodded before 2035? [read description]
Manifold MarketsWhat’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]
Manifold MarketsCoinflip of the century (experiment in prediction markets, read description)
Manifold MarketsWhen will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description)
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Dominance is defined by my best judgement of MAU's , or the best available metric.
- Note that the market will resolve to an ESTIMATED MARKET SHARE.
- In other words, it is NOT winner-take-all.
- Ie if X has 55% dominance, I want X to resolve to 55%.
- Friends have told me this is possible.
- If I find it is NOT possible to partially resolve a free response market, I will resolve it N/A.