Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualAnthropic or Meta release a new model 92.2%Líder entre 25 opciones
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-3.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado1 sept 26, 4:19 UTC31 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
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KalshiReglas
I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.
Mercados abiertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 30,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 18 mil €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volumen total
- 8,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,7 mil €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 15,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 952,2 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volumen total
- 516,1 €
- Volumen 24h
- 516,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volumen total
- 516,1 €
- Volumen 24h
- 516,1 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volumen total
- 136,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 419 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 🎃What will happen in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Anthropic or Meta release a new model al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 🎃What will happen in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Está previsto que 🎃What will happen in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 🎃What will happen in October 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.