What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Deportes2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
2028 45.6%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado31 oct 24, 16:33 UTC1 ago 29, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWill Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times?
Manifold MarketsUS Open Men's Singles Winner
KalshiUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Polymarket2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiReglas
Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard are two of the most dominant GC riders in recent cycling history.
- They have placed first and second in the last four (2021-24) consecutive Tours de France.
- Resolves YES to the first year in which the Tour de France is held and a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the general classification.
- If no other rider wins the Tour by 2029, then the market will resolve YES to the named outcome.
Mercados abiertos
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,9 M €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 24,5 M €
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 24,6 M €
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,6 M €
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2028 al 46% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France??
- Está previsto que What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France? se resuelva el 1 de agosto de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard are two of the most dominant GC riders in recent cycling history.