Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 87.6%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado11 jun 25, 14:25 UTC31 dic 27, 15:21 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Court rules against NYC's pied-à-terre tax rollout in 2026?
KalshiLA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?
Polymarket[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
KalshiWhich Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Supreme Court issues a final ruling in favor of President Donald Trump in the case of Trump v.
- Wilcox by December 31, 2027.
- A ruling in favor of Trump would affirm his authority to remove National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) member Gwynne Wilcox without cause.
- The market will resolve to "No" if the Supreme Court rules against Trump, denying him this authority, or if no ruling is issued by the specified date.
- The primary source for resolution will be the official Supreme Court docket and opinion, accessible at Supreme Court Docket.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US Supreme Court rules for Trump in Trump v. Wilcox??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US Supreme Court rules for Trump in Trump v. Wilcox??
- Está previsto que US Supreme Court rules for Trump in Trump v. Wilcox? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US Supreme Court rules for Trump in Trump v. Wilcox??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria