¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de UK Autumn Budget 2026: will CGT rates be fully aligned with income tax rates??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88.9% a fecha de 12 de octubre de 2026.

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will CGT rates be fully aligned with income tax rates?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 88.9%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 12 minutos

22 sept 26, 14:32 UTC28 oct 26, 12:00 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

YES only if the announced main CGT rates equal the income tax rates (20%, 40%, 45%) from some announced start date.

Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.
The creator may trade in this market.