Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates
ChainlinkEventos corporativosOne-OffEuropaRegulación14aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualJuly 1 2033 55.7%Líder entre 26 opciones
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado9 mar 25, 17:13 UTC1 jul 41, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Austin Shaw (https://twitter.com/replicationer) - who works for Skyline Celestial - become a Thiel Fellow in the next 6 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Austin Shaw (https://twitter.com/replicationer ) turn into a wizard? (virgin at 30 years old)
Manifold MarketsWill autism hexafluoride (https://twitter.com/servomechanica ) get a girlfriend by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexander Huth (https://twitter.com/alex_ander?lang=en) try tFUS or PropheticAI by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Each time period will resolve to YES if the social network X, formerly known as Twitter, is blocked on the day in question from European Union states because of a court order or a deliberate decision by the company or other reason implying that people with power have achieved an intended goal of having it not be available there.
- If twitter goes out of business entirely then remaining claims will NA (since this is based on whether x.com will take a role as the major media source of a cultural group and how it spreads its influence).
- Clarifications:
- If the application is inaccessible from a couple of EU countries it does not count, it has to be the entire EU or the vast majority of it.
- If the application becomes inaccessible from the whole world due to a decision or a legal action (e.g. bankruptcy) it does count.
- Inaccessibility due to technical issues does not count.
