¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be...?

Manifold Markets cotiza a robot al 65.1% a fecha de 29 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be...?

Está previsto que The first humanoid to set foot on Mars will be... se resuelva el 5 de abril de 2042.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

a robot 65.1%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 10 horas

Desactualizado

29 mar 24, 13:38 UTC5 abr 42, 6:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

For this market a "humanoid robot" will be defined as having two (and only two) legs, which are used for significant travel on the surface.

To simplify judgement of what is or isn't humanoid, there is no requirement that the overall appearance be like that of the named outcome.
For example, a two-legged robot whose knees point backward and with dinner-plates for feet would still count as humanoid.