Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 67.2%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
28 may 26, 12:42 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) and Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) legally complete a corporate merger, acquisition, or combine into a single corporate structure under a unified parent company on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Completed/Closed Transaction Required: A mere announcement of an agreement is not sufficient; the transaction must be legally completed (closed).
- Unified Parent/Holding Structure: If both companies are folded into a newly created holding company where they operate as subsidiaries under the same corporate umbrella, this will resolve the market to YES.
- Exclusions: Joint ventures (such as the "Terafab" Austin semiconductor facility), commercial supply agreements, or technology sharing partnerships do not qualify as a merger for the purpose of this market.
Mercados abiertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 82,1 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 17,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 15 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No92.1%
- Yes7.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,7 mil €
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Israeli Legislative Election Winner
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 67% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028?
- Está previsto que SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida SpaceX & Tesla Merger before 2028?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria