Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Pronóstico comunitario actual1 trillion or higher? 100%Líder entre 23 opciones
Pronosticadores
56
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 44 días
Desactualizado16 may 26, 3:0412 jun 26, 19:30
Cronología de Probabilidad
1 trillion or higher?100%
1.2 trillion or higher?100%
1.4 trillion or higher?100%
1.6 trillion or higher?100%
1.8 trillion or higher?100%
1.9 trillion or higher?100%
2 trillion or higher?100%
2.1 trillion or higher?100%
2.2 trillion or higher?0%
2.3 trillion or higher?0%
2.4 trillion or higher?0%
2.5 trillion or higher?0%
2.7 trillion or higher?0%
3 trillion or higher?0%
3.5 trillion or higher?0%
4 trillion or higher?0%
Larger market cap than Nvidia on the same day?0%
Larger market cap than Tesla on the same day?100%
Larger market cap than Alphabet Inc on the same day?0%
Larger market cap than Amazon on the same day?0%
Larger market cap than Broadcom on the same day?100%
Larger market cap than Meta Platforms (Facebook) on the same day?100%
Larger market cap than 0.5x Nvidias on the same day?0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· 1 trillion or higher?
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LimitlessMejor en general83% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 97% | — | 0 € | 0 € | hace 43 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 44 días |
También disponible en Limitless
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
Cerrados
90.2%
2.3%
2.3%
+4 resultados más
10 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total10,9 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSReglas
Resolves N/a if no ipo by end of 2028.
- This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- Google finance will be the source.
- Example: 1.4 trillion or more means 1,400,000,000,000.00 or more
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Resolves N/a if no ipo by end of 2028.
- This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- Google finance will be the source.
- Example: 1.4 trillion or more means 1,400,000,000,000.00 or more