Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 66.9%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 26, 6:07 UTC14 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Dan Osborn is running for Senate in Nebraska again in 2026, and is once again expected to make it a relatively close race in a deep red state.
- He is running against a different candidate, Pete Ricketts, this time though. 2026 is also expected to favor the democrats, though Osborn is an independent and has refused the Democratic endorsement.
- The market will resolve to YES if Dan Osborn receives more than the 46.52% of the vote he got in 2024.
- It is NOT based on margin of victory or loss, just voteshare
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Osborn outperforms his 2024 results??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 67% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Osborn outperforms his 2024 results??
- Está previsto que Osborn outperforms his 2024 results? se resuelva el 14 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Osborn outperforms his 2024 results??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Dan Osborn is running for Senate in Nebraska again in 2026, and is once again expected to make it a relatively close race in a deep red state.