Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 64.2%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado
21 may 25, 17:10 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
Oscar-winning director László Nemes (Son of Saul) is set to adapt Cormac McCarthy’s novel Outer Dark into a feature film.
The film will star Jacob Elordi (Euphoria, Saltburn) and Lily-Rose Depp (Nosferatu, The Idol) as siblings entangled in a harrowing tale set in Depression-era Appalachia.
Production is scheduled to begin in 2026, with an anticipated release in mid-2027.
This market will resolve to YES if, by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2027, a new Outer Dark film:
Has a confirmed theatrical release in any country, evidenced by listings on reputable platforms such as IMDb, Box Office Mojo, or official press releases.
Is available for streaming on a major platform accessible in the U.S., including but not limited to Netflix, Amazon Prime Video, Hulu, Max, Apple TV+, or Disney+.
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028??
Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 64% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028??
Está previsto que Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
¿Cómo se liquida Outer Dark (McCarthy) film adaptation before 2028??
Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Oscar-winning director László Nemes (Son of Saul) is set to adapt Cormac McCarthy’s novel Outer Dark into a feature film.