New Jersey's 9th District margin of victory
12.6 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20261a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualPou, 2+ pts 89%+12.6ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+39.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
24 oct 26, 19:33 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in New Jersey's 8th District?
Manifold MarketsWill Tom Malinowski win the New Jersey 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Tom Kean Jr. win the New Jersey 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExReglas
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-nj09d
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 9th District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
